Archive for the ‘Bulin wall’ Category

How are the Hawks going to keep Kane, Toews and Keith? (Salary Cap Outlook)

March 25, 2009

For the most part, we’ve been looking at these teams from a 2009-10 standpoint. Clearly, though, there are some cases in which the big storyline might be further in the future. That is the situation for the Chicago Blackhawks. So, instead of going contract-by-contract, we’ll handle Chi-town from a storyline standpoint.

Chicago Blackhawks:
Most significant pending free agents this summer: Martin Havlat, Nikolai Khabibulin, Cam Barker (Sleek would be screaming Pahlsson!)
HUGELY important pending free agents two summers from now: Duncan Keith (!), Jonathan Toews (!!) and Patrick Kane (!!!)

In the next two off-seasons, the Chicago Blackhawks have all kinds of huge questions to answer about their best players. Coming up, the Hawks must decide if Humpty Dumpty Havlat is worth bringing back. Along with that, the Bulin Wall has been playing as the Hawks were hoping Cristobal Huet would be playing this season. What will they do about their “backup” goalie?

But even more interesting is the restricted free agent status of their three best players: Keith, Toews and Kane are all subject to Dustin Penner inspired crazy offer sheet negotiations.
For me, the biggest question is: how can you pay Brian Campbell more than Keith, Toews and Kane? Perhaps Toews will take a “wearing the C” discount, but Kane is one of the best young players in the NHL. While Keith doesn’t get the kind of matinee attention of Toews or Kane, he’s been mentioned as a borderline Norris candidate and will probably be in line for a big raise.

What kind of money would it take to lock up those three? To me, $18 million would be an absolute steal.

So, Blackhawks fans, what do you think will happen? Will the honeymoon come to a screeching halt as the Hawks lose one of their big three? Will they blow their cap for the 2009-10 season? Or will they learn the Penguins’ pain by having to surround Kane-Toews-Keith with cheap veteran help? I’m all ears.

Please note: NHLSCAP.com seems half and half when it comes to being up to date, so I might keep an eye on things and make an update on the following section:

Best contract: Patrick Sharp ($3.9 million through 2011-12)
Worst contracts: Brian Campbell ($7.1 million through 2015-16); Cristobal Huet ($5.6 million through 2011-12)
Committments for 2009-10: $37.5 million
Players under contract 2009-10: 6 forwards, 6 defensemen, 1 goalie
Committments for 2010-11:
$25.5 million
Players under contract 2010-11:
2 forwards, 3 defensemen, 1 goalie

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Tavares Watch 2: Ottawa

February 2, 2009
Editor’s Note: The timing was excellent to start working on this post since Craig Hartsburg was fired, but it’s actually something that was in the “drafts” section since January 13. Oddly enough, work was being done on this during the morning hours … shortly before the Senators coach would be fired. Anyway, just thought it was worth mentioning how sometimes things fall into place every now and then …

In my “Predictions that Will Make Me Look Stupid” post, Ottawa was my pick to win the Northeast division. The only accurate prediction that came true was me looking stupid. (And let’s be honest, that prediction has at least a coin flip’s chance of being accurate every day)

It’s been a really, really, really bad season for the Senators. People will be fired. Players are crying in their oatmeal. Just all around bad times.

Perhaps such a fall from grace was inevitable. The Senators just kept losing vital supporting cast members. Over the last few off-seasons they’ve watched Martin Havlat, Zdeno Chara, Wade Redden and Ray Bug Eating Emery go to other teams in the NHL and Russia. What’s left behind is a wasteland of bad goaltending, thin defense and one line’s worth of stars.

The Senators have a Chara-sized hole they may never fill.
Looking ahead to the off-season, the Senators have one forward, one D and one goaltending spot that’s not accounted for with a cap number slightly above $44 million.

Having the opportunity to draft John Tavares would open the Senators up to some interesting questions.

Would Tavares give the Senators inexpensive yet quality depth on offense, allowing them to throw big money at the closest thing to a legitimate franchise goaltender and/or defenseman?

-OR-

With Tavares falling in their laps, would the Senators begin a purge by trading Jason Spezza like many an Internet rumors column has suggested?

Do the Senators deserve Tavares?

It’s hard to say. Looking at the lower ranking teams in the NHL, the New York Islanders seem to be one of the most deserving. Their fans have suffered heavily since the glory days of Trottier and Bossy. Plus Tavares would help promote the drive to a new arena.

Considering the blundering mess in Tampa Bay, Ottawa certainly isn’t the least worthy team in the Tavares sweepstakes. Overall, it would be great for the league to have as many competitive Canadian teams as possible.

And if the Senators didn’t move one of their expensive star players, just imagine a powerplay of Heatley-Spezza-Tavares with Alf and some incredibly lucky offensive D playing the point. That would just be ridiculous.

Which goalie should they target?

Investing in a goalie should be like getting an HDtv: make sure it’s the one. At least for the next 3-5 years. Let’s see if these goalies would be the right fit in Ottawa:

Nikolai Khabibulin

Absolutely a high-risk, high-reward goaltender. Hopefully, his ridiculous current salary ($6.75 million) will come down a couple million at least. From a highest ceiling standpoint, the one-time Cup winner probably takes the cake. But how much can you trust him when he only seems to reach his potential in contract years?

Niklas Backstrom

With any Wild goalie, it’s a question of nature versus nurture. That being said, previous (and soon to be UFA) Wild goaltenders Manny Fernandez and Dwayne Roloson could never lock down the top job quite as convincingly as Backstrom. Unfortunately for everyone outside of St. Paul, that might mean that the Wild will pay to keep him.

If not he has to be one of the top three targets for any team looking for a starter.

Manny Fernandez

Speaking of Fernandez, it’s likely that Boston will choose to hang on to Tim Thomas but let him go for cap reasons. Just like almost everyone in Boston, Fernandez is putting up some impressive numbers this season. He is 14-3-1 with a 2.07 GAA and a 92.8 save percentage.

The two hounding issues with Fernandez are consistency and health. He’s never really earned an unquestioned no. 1 role. His career high in games started is only 56 games. As a team that’s been burned frequently by inconsistent goaltending, signing Fernandez would most likely allow history to repeat itself.

Martin Biron

Is Martin Biron the answer in net for the Flyers? It’s hard to tell. If he becomes a free agent, he could be a decent option for the Senators. The idea is so bland and uninspiring that it’s crucial to just move on.

Dwayne Roloson

A lot like Biron, but probably a bigger risk/reward. Would not make much sense.

****

So as you can see, there are a few ways the Ottawa Senators could go about improving its team. Could they end up with that Chara-sized Swedish prospect Victor Hedman instead of Tavares? It certainly would be interesting to see the team who lost the big Z end up with the next “big” thing (from a more literal standpoint).


Honestly, things are bad right now but it wouldn’t be shocking if the Senators bounced back next season (or the one after). Even taking into account his turnover-heavy ways, consider me in the Pro-Spezza camp. Dan Heatley might have a dark past, but he’s moved on to become one of the true snipers of the NHL.

The one big name big contract guy they might want to consider moving is Daniel Alfredsson. Alf is a good player despite that ugly Scott Niedermayer incident from the SCF, but he’s old and expensive. He could probably yield a really nice prospect/draft pick package and allow the Senators some fiscal relief.

It might be time for some changes and the rebuilding process might take longer. For that reason, they must at least consider trading their two-way star of a captain.

In these dark times, there’s at least a faint light at the end of the tunnel for the Senators.